credibility, in the open

Track record.

Every pick the Edges desk publishes lands here, wins, losses, voids. Numbers update as matches finish. Flat-stake R100 per pick. No hidden picks, no quiet edits, no "we said it would be tight".

Every desk pick, with running ROI. Flat-stake R100. No hidden picks.

since 11 June
  • 18picks
  • 11Wwins
  • 6Llosses
  • 1Vvoid
  • 64.7%hit-rate
  • +8.4%flat-stake ROI
last 18 picks

Streak.

on a 2 win streak
12W 5L last 18
calibration

Are the desk’s confidence numbers honest?

Within each confidence band, the bar shows the actual win-rate vs the expected win-rate. Well-calibrated picks have actual ≈ expected.

50–59
54%
56.2%
+2.2
60–69
64.5%
60.8%
-3.7
70–79
74.1%
75.5%
+1.4
80+
84.2%
80.1%
-4.1