Catch the edge before the odds move.
Edges is South Africa's desk for the FIFA World Cup 2026. All 104 matches, one tournament, our own calls. Here's the quick tour.
The FIFA World Cup 2026 group stage is the biggest in World Cup history: 48 teams, 12 groups of four, 72 matches between 2026-06-11 and 27 June. Top two from each group advance automatically. The eight best third-placed finishers also go through to the round of 32. Here is the picture in each group, drawn from the data in the market.
Outright prices are sample SA-market decimals at time of publication. Lower price = stronger favourite. Read the full format rules at /world-cup-2026/format/ or check group standings at /groups/.
Seeded favourite: Mexico, the lowest-priced outright winner in the group by the SA market. They are expected to advance comfortably in most model scenarios.
Dark horse: South Korea, second-shortest price in the group; could threaten the favourite's top-spot if form holds.
Qualification path: two automatic spots (top 2) plus a chance at a third-place berth. See live group standings once the tournament kicks off.
Seeded favourite: Switzerland, the lowest-priced outright winner in the group by the SA market. They are expected to advance comfortably in most model scenarios.
Dark horse: Canada, second-shortest price in the group; could threaten the favourite's top-spot if form holds.
Qualification path: two automatic spots (top 2) plus a chance at a third-place berth. See live group standings once the tournament kicks off.
Seeded favourite: Brazil, the lowest-priced outright winner in the group by the SA market. They are expected to advance comfortably in most model scenarios.
Dark horse: Morocco, second-shortest price in the group; could threaten the favourite's top-spot if form holds.
Qualification path: two automatic spots (top 2) plus a chance at a third-place berth. See live group standings once the tournament kicks off.
Seeded favourite: United States, the lowest-priced outright winner in the group by the SA market. They are expected to advance comfortably in most model scenarios.
Dark horse: Türkiye, second-shortest price in the group; could threaten the favourite's top-spot if form holds.
Qualification path: two automatic spots (top 2) plus a chance at a third-place berth. See live group standings once the tournament kicks off.
Seeded favourite: Germany, the lowest-priced outright winner in the group by the SA market. They are expected to advance comfortably in most model scenarios.
Dark horse: Ecuador, second-shortest price in the group; could threaten the favourite's top-spot if form holds.
Qualification path: two automatic spots (top 2) plus a chance at a third-place berth. See live group standings once the tournament kicks off.
Seeded favourite: Netherlands, the lowest-priced outright winner in the group by the SA market. They are expected to advance comfortably in most model scenarios.
Dark horse: Japan, second-shortest price in the group; could threaten the favourite's top-spot if form holds.
Qualification path: two automatic spots (top 2) plus a chance at a third-place berth. See live group standings once the tournament kicks off.
Seeded favourite: Belgium, the lowest-priced outright winner in the group by the SA market. They are expected to advance comfortably in most model scenarios.
Dark horse: Iran, second-shortest price in the group; could threaten the favourite's top-spot if form holds.
Qualification path: two automatic spots (top 2) plus a chance at a third-place berth. See live group standings once the tournament kicks off.
Seeded favourite: Spain, the lowest-priced outright winner in the group by the SA market. They are expected to advance comfortably in most model scenarios.
Dark horse: Uruguay, second-shortest price in the group; could threaten the favourite's top-spot if form holds.
Qualification path: two automatic spots (top 2) plus a chance at a third-place berth. See live group standings once the tournament kicks off.
Seeded favourite: France, the lowest-priced outright winner in the group by the SA market. They are expected to advance comfortably in most model scenarios.
Dark horse: Senegal, second-shortest price in the group; could threaten the favourite's top-spot if form holds.
Qualification path: two automatic spots (top 2) plus a chance at a third-place berth. See live group standings once the tournament kicks off.
Seeded favourite: Argentina, the lowest-priced outright winner in the group by the SA market. They are expected to advance comfortably in most model scenarios.
Dark horse: Austria, second-shortest price in the group; could threaten the favourite's top-spot if form holds.
Qualification path: two automatic spots (top 2) plus a chance at a third-place berth. See live group standings once the tournament kicks off.
Seeded favourite: Portugal, the lowest-priced outright winner in the group by the SA market. They are expected to advance comfortably in most model scenarios.
Dark horse: Colombia, second-shortest price in the group; could threaten the favourite's top-spot if form holds.
Qualification path: two automatic spots (top 2) plus a chance at a third-place berth. See live group standings once the tournament kicks off.
Seeded favourite: England, the lowest-priced outright winner in the group by the SA market. They are expected to advance comfortably in most model scenarios.
Dark horse: Croatia, second-shortest price in the group; could threaten the favourite's top-spot if form holds.
Qualification path: two automatic spots (top 2) plus a chance at a third-place berth. See live group standings once the tournament kicks off.
The FIFA World Cup 2026 uses a 12-group format for the first time in World Cup history. Each group contains four teams playing a round-robin of three matches apiece, 48 teams × 3 matches ÷ 2 (each match counts for two teams) = 72 group-stage matches in total. Teams earn three points for a win, one for a draw, and zero for a defeat.
At the end of the group stage, 24 teams have advanced automatically, the two best-placed teams from each of the 12 groups. The remaining eight places in the round of 32 go to the best third-placed finishers across all 12 groups, ranked by points and then the standard FIFA tiebreakers. That means 32 of the original 48 sides reach the knockout phase, and 16 go home after three matches.
Full format explainer with every knockout stage: /world-cup-2026/format/. Group tables once the tournament starts: /groups/. Match schedule with sample price context: /matches/.
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